That huge pink wave? It didn’t attain the shores of WA state

So much for those rumored big red conservative waves.

So much for conspiracy theorists, election deniers (most of them anyway) and MAGA rightists.

All of these things went quite well Counting of votes in the Washington D.C. primary will begin on Tuesday. Overall, voters in this state appear to be bucking the conventional wisdom that this will be the first good year for Republicans since 2014.

“Republican Narratives Shattered” in a tweet Andrew Villeneuve of the Northwest Progressive Institute, who has argued for months that local polls will not support the media-fueled view that there will be a conservative backlash in this state.

Of course, it can still be, because until November. the general election is three months away. A lot can happen, including the fact that the totals for this primary can and will change in the coming days as more votes are counted.

But Tuesday’s early primary results showed no signs of a turning tide in our local blue-collar politics.

If anything, voters showed they just wanted a break from all the madness.

Voters were in no mood to experiment with the fringes of either party. MAGA candidates fought on the right, while the Democratic Socialists on the left didn’t make a dent.

For example, both of former President Donald Trump’s favored candidates in the state are behind and may not make it out of the top two polls. Former GOP gubernatorial candidate Loren Kulp ran for third in Central Washington’s 4th Congressional District, as did Fox News regular and newcomer Joe Kent in Southwest Washington’s 3rd District.

In both cases, Trump had sought revenge on current GOP members of Congress who voted to impeach him for his role in 2021. In the Capitol Riots. These rulers, Rep. Dan Newhouse, R-Sunnyside, and Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler, R-Camas, narrowly sought re-election. (Both were only around 25 percent.) But both can overcome a primary challenge and advance to the general election against a Democratic opponent.

Kulp and Kent completely denied the election, claiming that Trump won the 2020 election. (Culp, incredibly, still claims to have won the gubernatorial election over incumbent Gov. Jay Inslee.) The insanity may have been too much for the voters.

There were rational candidates. Out: candidates who create their own realities.

Many election conspiracy theorists, such as Tamborine Borrelli, who filed a series of bogus claims about the 2020 election, lost. elections; Rep. Brad Klippert, R-Kennewick, who attended the “stolen election” conference arranged by the guy at My Pillow and then charged the taxpayers for the trip; Vicki Kraft, R-Vancouver, who also attended that conference; and Amber Krabach, a Republican candidate for the Eastside state House who recently made news for an attempt to monitor ballot boxes.

Despite talk that incumbent Democrats in Congress, such as Rep. Kim Schrier, D-Issaquah, and U.S. Sen. Patty Murray may be in trouble, both easily edged out their challengers. In particular, Schrier is doing better than she did in the last primary in 2020. That doesn’t mean she’s a disaster in November. But this means that no red wave fell on her.

“I think six weeks ago the headwinds against Democrats were stronger than they are today,” Rep. Rick Larsen, D-Everett, told the Times.

What happened six weeks ago? The US Supreme Court took a conservative approach and rejected abortion rights, allowing for school prayer and so on.

There is election analysts rule that if you add up the party vote shares in each of our open primary contests, it will be a good guide to determining which party will win that race in November. It’s not perfect, but as a general guide, it captures the general mood.

Using this technique, Tuesday’s preliminary results show that despite high inflation, concerns about crime and President Joe Biden’s low approval ratings, Democrats are doing as well as usual, especially in the hard-fought suburbs.

Case in point: Republicans have spent heavily targeting several state legislative districts in suburban King and Snohomish counties, where the GOP has been decimated under Trump. Still, Democrats went ahead in all of them on Tuesday.

In Snohomish’s 44th District, Democrats won 54% to 59% of the total vote. In King’s 47th, they went from 52% to 56%, and in Eastside’s 45th, Democrats shrank from 66% to 72%.

Biden, like Trump before him, had to hinder his own party. It is not normal for a party to be so far ahead of its president’s poor ratings.

If Republicans can’t get a red wave, a ripple, or even a ripple in this environment, it’s hard to see how they’ll ever claw their way back into this state.

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